Perbandingan Penerapan Regresi Linear Berganda dan Holt-Winter Exponential Smoothing pada Prediksi Harga Emas Perhiasan. (Comparison of The Application of Multiple Linear Regression and Holt-Winter Exponential Smoothing in Gold Jewelry Price Prediction).

Majid, Wirawan Khairul (2023) Perbandingan Penerapan Regresi Linear Berganda dan Holt-Winter Exponential Smoothing pada Prediksi Harga Emas Perhiasan. (Comparison of The Application of Multiple Linear Regression and Holt-Winter Exponential Smoothing in Gold Jewelry Price Prediction). Undergraduate thesis, Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Surabaya.

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Abstract

One important factor for someone to buy gold jewelry is the price factor. However, the price of gold jewelry from each store is different. Therefore, a gold jewelery price forecasting sistem is needed to assist customers in determining the right time for them when to buy gold jewelery. This study aims to develop a prediction sistem for gold jewelry by comparing two methods using Multiple Linear Regression and Holt-Winter Exponential Smoothing. These two methods were chosen because the first one the researcher wanted to compare was which method is more accurate in predicting the price of gold jewelry. Then the second is the Multiple Linear Regression and Holt�Winter Exponential Smoothing methods which are similar by using three variables. The three variables in Multiple Linear Regression include period (X1), Sales (X2), and Price (Y), while the variables in the Holt-Winter Exponential Smoothing method include levels, trends, and seasons.

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