Rancang Bangun Sistem Peramalan Penjualan Pada Toko Plastik Tiga Satu Dengan Metode Moving Average. (Implementation of Sales Forecasting System on Tiga Satu Plastic Store Using Moving Average Method).

Ramadhan, Faikar Reza (2023) Rancang Bangun Sistem Peramalan Penjualan Pada Toko Plastik Tiga Satu Dengan Metode Moving Average. (Implementation of Sales Forecasting System on Tiga Satu Plastic Store Using Moving Average Method). Undergraduate thesis, Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Surabaya.

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Abstract

Forecasting or prediction is an effort to predict a future condition or situation based on past or historical data and the data currently available, so that errors (differences between forecasted results and actual outcomes) can be minimized. Plastik Tiga Satu Store is an MSME (Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprise) engaged in the sale of various household plastic needs. The Moving Average method is a calculation method of moving average that can be used to predict a future condition based on past data. This research aims is to determined the effect of time periods and resulted in differences in error values and forecasting accuracy based on the period input. The larger the Moving Average period used, the smaller the error value and the higher the accuracy value. This research also produced a Forecasting System that is capable of predicting the sales results of Plastik Tiga Satu Store until 2024, equipped with an administration system. Keyword : Forecasting, Forecasting System, Moving Average, Plastic Store

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