Rustandi, Cecep (2022) Pengaruh Investasi Swasta, Investasi Pemerintah, Kinerja Ekspor, dan Kinerja Impor terhadap Pertumbuhan Industri Manufaktur dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia dengan Kebijakan Fiskal Sebagai Variabel Moderasi. (The Influence of Private Investment, Government Investment, Export Performance, and Import Performance on Manufacturing Industry Growth and Indonesia's Economic Growth with Fiscal Policy as a Moderating Variable). Doctoral thesis, Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Surabaya.
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Abstract
This study aims to analyze the effect of private investment, government investment, export performance, and import performance on the manufacturing industry growth and economic growth in Indonesia, with fiscal policy as a moderator variable. The research design uses an explanatory research approach. The research sample is the economic condition in Indonesia from 2011 to 2020, the reason being that it follows the BPS census calculation every 10 years using constant prices based on 2010. The unit of analysis is monthly data, from January 2011 to December 2020, so the number of units analysis was 120. The analysis technique used PLS-SEM which was run with SmartPLS v.3 software. The results show (1) private investment and government investment have a positive and significant effect on the manufacturing industry growth. (2) export performance has no significant effect on the manufacturing industry growth, while import performance has a significant effect. Thus, the higher of the import performance, the industry volume will increase and the manufacturing industry will grow. (3) fiscal policy does not moderate the effect of private investment, government investment, and export performance on the manufacturing industry growth. Fiscal policy can only moderate (strengthen) the effect of import performance on the manufacturing industry growth. (4) the manufacturing industry growth has no significant effect on economic growth, even the trend is negative. Keywords: private investment, government investment, export performance, import performance, manufacturing industry growth, economic growth.
Item Type: | Thesis (Doctoral) |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | Investasi swasta, investasi pemerintah, kinerja ekspor, kinerja impor, pertumbuhan industri manufaktur, pertumbuhan ekonomi. |
Subjects: | H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General) |
Divisions: | Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Doktor Ilmu Ekonomi |
Depositing User: | 1271900036 cecep rustandi |
Date Deposited: | 07 Dec 2022 08:21 |
Last Modified: | 05 May 2023 02:11 |
URI: | http://repository.untag-sby.ac.id/id/eprint/20431 |
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